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Monday Market Monitor - India (WEEK 12) - No respite
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Monday, 23 Mar 2009
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Indian Steel Prices plummeted on scarce demand and abysmally poor activity plaguing the economy. The Indian Long Product Price Index ILPPI dipped by 62 points, whereas the Indian Flat Products Index IFPPI depreciated by 21 points. The overall price index INDSPI declined by 43 points:

Class13-Mar20-MarChange
ILPPI66306568-62
IFPPI66566635-21
INDSPI66426599-43

ILPPI - Indian Long Product Price Index
IFPPI - Indian Flat Product Price Index
INDSPI - Indian Steel Price Index

Long Products

Category13-Mar20-MarChange
PI - TMT63926322-69
PI - WRC71337066-67
PI - Angle62636233-30
PI - Channel63136259-53
PI - Joist58055774-32



Flat products

Category13-Mar20-MarChange
PI - Narrow Plates626762670
PI - Wide Plates67056683-21
PI - Hot Rolled64786436-42
PI - Cold Rolled7241725413
PI - Galvanized695469540

To know more about these indices please visit
http://steelprices-india.com/spi_services/spi.html

Input materials remains bearish

Input prices fell unimpeded fuelled by falling international scrap prices and negative demand from cash cow products like re -bars and structural .
The construction industry is reeling under recession and devoid of any perceptible activity to prop up the market.

Internationally the scrap prices plummeted by USD 20 pmt thereby gravitating the domestic prices. Ship breaking industry exhibited decline in fortunes due to glut after an incessant phase of profiteering.

Melting scrap
80:20
HMS

Location%%
Chennai-1144-6.5%
Kandla-3343-17.1%
Mumbai263215.5%
Mandi-622-3.2%
Kolkata00.0%
Kanpur 00.0%

Change is on March 20th 2009 as compared to March 13th 2009
Change is in INR per tonne

Alang

ProductSizeSizeChange%
ShipsMixedMixed-400-2.4%
Plate cuttings1”1”-600-3.2%

Change is on March 20th 2009 as compared to March 13th 2009
Change is in INR per tonne

Pencil ingot

Location%%
Mumbai-800-3.6%
Mandi-831-3.4%
Raipur -178-0.9%
Kanpur -444-2.0%
Kolkata-481-2.0%
Ghaziabad-500-2.1%
Muzzafarnagar-800-3.4%
Ahmedabad-300-1.4%

Change is on March 20th 2009 as compared to March 13th 2009
Change is in INR per tonne

Pig Iron

Location%%
Raipur -200-1.1%
Kolkata00.0%

Change is on March 20th 2009 as compared to March 13th 2009
Change is in INR per tonne

Sponge iron

Location%%
Raipur -200-1.4%
Kolkata-288-1.8%

Change is on March 20th 2009 as compared to March 13th 2009
Change is in INR per tonne

To know more about these indices please visit
http://steelprices-india.com/spi_services/spi.html

Long products prices leads the southward march

The decline in long product prices was prevalent as the economy growth rate is expected to slump to 6.3% in the 2008-09 (IMF report) fiscal year, ending in March and 5.3% the following year severely impacting the construction industry.

The import parity for import of $ 437 pmt for Re-bars and $ 380 pmt billets C&F, Mumbai, import threat is looming large as the domestic prices are much higher. This is accelerate the downward spiral.

TMT
Fe 415
12mm

Location%%
Chennai6502.1%
Mumbai2250.8%
Mandi-1352-4.1%
Kolkata00.0%
Delhi -756-2.3%
Kanpur -1600-5.0%
Ahmedabad-675-2.4%
Indore -800-2.6%

Change is on March 20th 2009 as compared to March 13th 2009
Change is in INR per tonne

WRC
SWR14
5.5/6

Location%%
Chennai00.0%
Raipur -444-1.6%
Kolkata00.0%
Delhi -453-1.5%
Kanpur -533-1.8%

Change is on March 20th 2009 as compared to March 13th 2009
Change is in INR per tonne

ANGL
GR A
65x6

Location%%
Chennai5501.7%
Mumbai00.0%
Mandi-1144-3.4%
Raipur -208-0.7%
Kolkata00.0%
Delhi 3831.2%
Kanpur -1000-3.1%
Ahmedabad-225-0.8%
Indore-500-1.6%
Bangalore00.0%

Change is on March 20th 2009 as compared to March 13th 2009
Change is in INR per tonne

CHNL
GR A
75/100

Location%%
Chennai8602.7%
Mumbai00.0%
Mandi-1144-3.3%
Raipur -520-1.8%
Kolkata-649-2.0%
Delhi 00.0%
Kanpur -1200-3.7%
Ahmedabad-394-1.4%
Indore-700-2.2%
Bangalore00.0%

Change is on March 20th 2009 as compared to March 13th 2009
Change is in INR per tonne

JSTI
GR A
250x125

Location%%
Chennai00.0%
Mumbai00.0%
Mandi-520-1.5%
Raipur -520-1.7%
Kolkata00.0%
Delhi 00.0%
Kanpur -400-1.2%
Ahmedabad-520-1.7%
Indore-800-2.4%
Bangalore00.0%

Change is on March 20th 2009 as compared to March 13th 2009
Change is in INR per tonne

HRC and Plate prices decline by 2-3%

The slide gradient was less acute in flat, however there was overall decline in prices of HRC and wide plates. Towards the end of the week it exhibited relative stability signaling trough however upturn is remote due to lack of demand.

HRC
Tube
2.5x1250

Location%%
Mumbai-693-2.4%
Ludhiana -647-2.2%
Kolkata00.0%
Delhi 00.0%
Ahmedabad-277-1.0%
Indore-444-1.5%
Bangalore00.0%

Change is on March 20th 2009 as compared to March 13th 2009
Change is in INR per tonne

Patra

Location%%
Ludhiana -739-2.7%
Mandi-739-2.7%
Delhi 00.0%

Change is on March 20th 2009 as compared to March 13th 2009
Change is in INR per tonne

PLTS
GRA
8x1.5

Location%%
Chennai00.0%
Mumbai00.0%
Kolkata00.0%
Delhi 00.0%
Kanpur -355-1.2%

Change is on March 20th 2009 as compared to March 13th 2009
Change is in INR per tonne

PLTS
GRB
12-20x2.5

Location%%
Chennai00.0%
Mumbai-462-1.5%
Raipur 00.0%
Kolkata00.0%
Delhi 00.0%
Kanpur -267-0.9%
Ahmedabad-462-1.4%
Indore-444-1.5%
Bangalore00.0%

Change is on March 20th 2009 as compared to March 13th 2009
Change is in INR per tonne

CR
DSK
0.63x1000

Location%%
Chennai00.0%
Mumbai00.0%
Pune00.0%
Kolkata00.0%
Delhi 00.0%
Kanpur 4441.3%
Ahmedabad00.0%

Change is on March 20th 2009 as compared to March 13th 2009
Change is in INR per tonne

GC
100Gms
0.4

Location%%
Chennai00.0%
Mumbai00.0%
Kolkata00.0%
Delhi 00.0%
Kanpur 7112.0%
Bangalore00.0%

Change is on March 20th 2009 as compared to March 13th 2009
Change is in INR per tonne

Iron Ore fines prices diminishes by up to 17%

Domestic iron ore fines prices declined by 17% as a side effect of fall in export levels by upto 25% in Fe63.5/63% as on March 17th 2009 (Ref : Steel Trade Today : Indian iron ore FOB spot price crash by 30% in last 35 days).

The scenario looks increasingly ominous as Chinese Steel manufacturers want to leverage this weakness to the hilt in arm twisting suppliers to agree for up to 50% reduction in prices from 2008 levels.

Domestic

ProductGradeSizeChange%
Iron Ore CalibrateFe 65%10-4000%
Iron Ore CalibrateFe 64%10-40503%
Iron Ore CalibrateFe 62%10-4000%
Iron Ore CalibrateFe 60%5-20503%
Iron Ore CalibrateFe 62%5-201006%
Iron ore - FinesFe 63%Fines-250-17%

(Sourced from www.steelprices-india.com)

Export - east coast

GradeChange%
Fe 63.5/63%-2-4%
Fe 63.5/62.5%-2-4%
Fe 63/62 %00%
Fe 62 / 61%-1-2%
Fe 61 / 60 %-1-2%
Fe 60/59 %00%
Fe 59 / 58 %-1-3%
Fe 58 / 57%-1-3%

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