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Monday Market Monitor - India (WEEK 14) - Morbid recovery
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Monday, 06 Apr 2009
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Indian Steel Prices rallied after long gestation during last week. The Indian Long Product Price Index ILPPI bounced 42 points, on the contrary the Indian Flat Products Index IFPPI crept by 14 points. The overall price index INDSPI rebounded 29 points:

Class27-Mar3-AprChange%
ILPPI65166558420.6%
IFPPI66716685140.2%
IDSPI65906619290.4%

ILPPI - Indian Long Product Price Index
IFPPI - Indian Flat Product Price Index
INDSPI - Indian Steel Price Index

Long Products

Category27-Mar03-AprChange
PI - TMT6236629054
PI - WRC7061710645
PI - Angle6140616828
PI - Channel6209622516
PI - Joist57015697-4

PI - Price Index

Flat products

Category27-Mar03-AprChange
PI - Narrow Plates62856283-2
PI - Wide Plates6700672626
PI - Hot Rolled649565005
PI - Cold Rolled7244728238
PI - Galvanized6954702167

PI - Price Index

To know more about these indices please visit
http://steelprices-india.com/spi_services/spi.html

Input materials show bipolar movement

The prices of input material had divergent dynamics with scrap levels buckling. On the flip side pig iron, sponge iron and pencil ingot showed remarkable resilience with prices rebounding. The scenario was even more perturbing in Alang with the twin factors of depreciation of Indian Rupee and the fall in local plate prices led to slump in the scrap prices by USD 35 per tonne touching a low of USD 260 per LDT for general cargo ships.

Melting scrap
80:20
HMS

LocationChange%
Chennai-1728-10.4%
Kandla1780.9%
Mumbai-500-3.0%
Mandi4442.3%
Kolkata-192-1.1%
Kanpur 1781.0%

Change is on April 3rd 2009 as compared to March 27th 2009
Change is in INR per tonne

Alang

ProductSizeSizeChange%
Ship scrapMixedMixed-100-0.6%
Plate cuttings1”1”00.0%

Change is on April 3rd 2009 as compared to March 27th 2009
Change is in INR per tonne

Pencil ingot

LocationChange%
Mumbai00.0%
Mandi5542.4%
Raipur 1780.9%
Kanpur 1780.8%
Kolkata5772.5%
Ghaziabad4001.8%
Muzzafarnagar3551.6%
Ahmedabad5002.3%

Change is on April 3rd 2009 as compared to March 27th 2009
Change is in INR per tonne

Pig Iron

LocationChange%
Raipur 2001.2%
Kolkata00.0%

Change is on April 3rd 2009 as compared to March 27th 2009
Change is in INR per tonne

Sponge iron

LocationChange%
Raipur 2001.5%
Kolkata7695.1%

Change is on April 3rd 2009 as compared to March 27th 2009
Change is in INR per tonne

Long product prices rebounds by price hike from steel majors

Market got a pep up with an announcement of price hike by steel majors in long products by an average of INR 1000 per tonne encouraged by heavy sales in March 2009. Buyers strove to amass volumes to ward off anticipated price hike in the new financial year ie wef April 1st 2009.

However this exercise seems to be cosmetic discouraging any negative sentiments from setting in. The stockiest having bloated their inventory backed by this hype are not optimistic about its sustainability since with the depletion of stock compounded by absence of demand will eventually compel steel manufacturers to return with lucrative discount after couple of weeks.

TMT
Fe 415
12mm

LocationChange%
Chennai-750-2.3%
Mumbai5632.0%
Mandi4161.3%
Kolkata7582.4%
Delhi 00.0%
Kanpur 2000.7%
Ahmedabad7322.6%
Indore 9003.0%

Change is on April 3rd 2009 as compared to March 27th 2009
Change is in INR per tonne

WRC
SWR14
5.5/6

LocationChange%
Chennai9003.2%
Raipur -444-1.6%
Kolkata4811.7%
Delhi 00.0%
Kanpur -89-0.3%

Change is on April 3rd 2009 as compared to March 27th 2009
Change is in INR per tonne

ANGL
GR A
65x6

LocationChange%
Chennai5001.6%
Mumbai00.0%
Mandi2080.6%
Raipur 3121.1%
Kolkata00.0%
Delhi 00.0%
Kanpur -100-0.3%
Ahmedabad6752.4%
Indore6002.0%
Bangalore-200-0.6%

Change is on April 3rd 2009 as compared to March 27th 2009
Change is in INR per tonne

CHNL
GR A
75/100

LocationChange%
Chennai5001.5%
Mumbai00.0%
Mandi2080.6%
Raipur 3121.1%
Kolkata00.0%
Delhi 00.0%
Kanpur -300-1.0%
Ahmedabad6752.4%
Indore6002.0%
Bangalore-500-1.6%

Change is on April 3rd 2009 as compared to March 27th 2009
Change is in INR per tonne

JSTI
GR A
250x125

LocationChange%
Chennai5001.5%
Mumbai00.0%
Mandi-312-0.9%
Raipur 3121.1%
Kolkata00.0%
Delhi 00.0%
Kanpur -400-1.3%
Ahmedabad1040.3%
Indore4001.3%
Bangalore-500-1.5%

Change is on April 3rd 2009 as compared to March 27th 2009
Change is in INR per tonne

Flat product prices shows modulated optimism

Flat product prices were circumspect in its movement. Internationally the flat product prices remained depressed. Import parity level went up to USD 484 per tonne CNF LO Mumbai as against imports availability at USD 370 per tonne CNF LO, which hardly augurs well for the domestic players.

HRC
Tube
2.5x1250

LocationChange%
Mumbai-231-0.8%
Ludhiana 1850.7%
Kolkata00.0%
Delhi 00.0%
Ahmedabad00.0%
Indore00.0%
Bangalore00.0%

Change is on April 3rd 2009 as compared to March 27th 2009
Change is in INR per tonne

Patra

LocationChange%
Ludhiana 00.0%
Mandi5081.9%
Delhi 00.0%

Change is on April 3rd 2009 as compared to March 27th 2009
Change is in INR per tonne

PLTS
GRA
8x1.5

LocationChange%
Chennai5001.8%
Mumbai00.0%
Kolkata00.0%
Delhi 00.0%
Kanpur 890.3%

Change is on April 3rd 2009 as compared to March 27th 2009
Change is in INR per tonne

PLTS
GRB
12-20x2.5

LocationChange%
Chennai5001.6%
Mumbai00.0%
Raipur 00.0%
Kolkata00.0%
Delhi 00.0%
Kanpur 3111.0%
Ahmedabad00.0%
Indore00.0%
Bangalore00.0%

Change is on April 3rd 2009 as compared to March 27th 2009
Change is in INR per tonne

CR
DSK
0.63x1000

LocationChange%
Chennai5001.5%
Mumbai4621.4%
Pune4621.4%
Kolkata00.0%
Delhi 00.0%
Kanpur 3551.1%
Ahmedabad00.0%

Change is on April 3rd 2009 as compared to March 27th 2009
Change is in INR per tonne

GC
100Gms
0.4

LocationChange%
Chennai5001.4%
Mumbai00.0%
Kolkata00.0%
Delhi 00.0%
Kanpur 2670.7%
Bangalore00.0%

Change is on April 3rd 2009 as compared to March 27th 2009
Change is in INR per tonne

Although most of the sellers have rolled over their prices for flat products (Although some of them sought an increase in March end), there have been some reports of increase. A major galvanizer in Mumbai has announced that they will increase around INR 500 per tonne for their galvanized corrugated sheets. Prices of super heavy plates are also reported to have been increased by a major seller.

Thus the market prices are likely to strengthen a bit in coming week temporarily but there is a general feeling that there would be a downward correction of prices in April 2009.

Export Levels from India succumb to the market realities

The price of Plates and HDG succumb to the negative pressure of market fundamentals. The typical destination of these commodities being Europe and Middle East is reeling under immense recession and cheaper offers from Ukraine and Turkey.

Price levels having touched Euro 350 pmt and Euro 420 per tonne CNF European port levels for plates and HDG respectively there seems too little respite for Indian suppliers. Middle Eastern market has little to cheer with the price dipping by 1% in the last week.

ItemGradeSizeDeliveryChange
PLTSStructural12-40x2.5FOB Vizag-10
HDG100Gms0.4FOB Mumbai-10
PPGIStandard RAL0.4FOB Mumbai0

Change is on April 3rd 2009 as compared to March 27th 2009
Kindly note that transactions are not happening for some products ate these prices

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(Sourced from www.steelprices-india.com)

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