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Monday Market Monitor - India - WEEK 3 - Rock and roll
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Monday, 24 Jan 2011
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The Indian domestic steel market continued to exhibit firm trends for both long as well as flat products last week.

Although the long product market showed some ups and downs in the week, flat product prices remained on clear cut upward trend giving enough room to Indian steel majors to go for further hikes during this week or on February 1st 2011.

For long products, uncertainties lie ahead as the prices of rebar and sections have skyrocketed on sentiments and as such the hanging overcapacity could become nemesis when the slowed down production picks pace on improving margins. But some marker players are optimistic that the demand for bigger projects propelled by financial year closing would keep the market buoyant.

On the other hand, enough room exists for major price hike for flat products. Even if we take USD 770 per tonne CFR India as prevailing level, the import parity is on the negative side by more than INR 2500 per tonne. By taking into account the hassle factor, there is room for INR 3000 per tonne to INR 4000 per tonne increase.

But it is “heard” that some of the steel majors are weary of Indian government’s reaction on the likely outcry by users as inflation is currently main issue in the political circles. “Aren’t we seeing repeat of April to June 2008?” Thus, instead of taking one big hike, Indian steel makers may resort to step wise increases probably starting with INR 2000 per tonne to INR 2500 per tonne.

Another factor for smaller hike could be Chinese import threat as Chinese steel mills would become quite aggressive at such levels. Indian steel mills would probably like to avoid the situation faced in May to June 2010 when Chinese steel mills dumped more than 2 million tonnes of HRC into India keeping Indian domestic market for HRC depressed for many months.

The Indian Long Product Price Index ILPPI is went up by 64 points last week whereas Indian Flat Products Index IFPPI also up by 267 points. The overall price index INDSPI inclined by 161 points.

Class14-Jan21-JanChange%
ILPPI79908054640.8%
IFPPI823885052673.2%
INDSPI810882691612.0%


ILPPI - Indian Long Product Price Index
IFPPI - Indian Flat Product Price Index
INDSPI - Indian Steel Price Index

Long Products

Category14-Jan21-JanChange%
PI - TMT80248060360.4%
PI - WRC81468242961.2%
PI - Angle77427792500.6%
PI - Channel78107863530.7%
PI - Joist73387405670.9%


PI - Product Index

Flat products

Category14-Jan21-JanChange%
PI - Narrow Plates777880052272.9%
PI - Wide Plates802582282032.5%
PI - Hot Rolled796382773143.9%
PI - Cold Rolled919793801822.0%
PI - Galvanized876490442803.2%


PI - Product Index

These indices have base of 10,000 as on July 1st 2008
To know more about these indices please visit
http://steelprices-india.com/spi_services/spi.html

To download a presentation please paste this link in your browser
http://www.steelprices-india.com/uploads/Steel_Price_Index_Presentation.ppt

You can now get ILPPI, IFPPI and INDSPI as SMS alert on mobile by submitting your details at
http://steelprices-india.com/smsalert

1. Input material

Melting scrap
80:20
HMS

LocationChange
Chennai2%
Hyderabad2%
Kandla0%
Kanpur 1%
Kolkata0%
Mandi1%
Mumbai3%
Rudrapur0%


Change is on Jan 21st as compared to 14th Jan 2011

Alang

ProductSizeChange
Plate cuttings1"-1%
ShipsMixed0%


Change is on Jan 21st as compared to 14th Jan 2011

Pencil ingot

LocationChange
Ahmedabad0%
Alang1%
Bhiwari1%
Chennai3%
Durgapur1%
Ghaziabad1%
Hyderabad7%
Jaipur0%
Jamshedpur0%
Kanpur 1%
Kolkata1%
Mandi2%
Mumbai3%
Muzzafarnagar2%
Nagpur2%
Raigarh3%
Raipur 4%
Rourkela1%
Rudrapur1%


Change is on Jan 21st as compared to 14th Jan 2011

Pig Iron

LocationChange
Agra0%
Jallandhar1%
Kolkata0%
Raipur 0%


Change is on Jan 21st as compared to 14th Jan 2011

Sponge iron

LocationChange
Bellary1%
Kolkata0%
Raigarh3%
Raipur 3%
Rourkela0%


Change is on Jan 21st as compared to 14th Jan 2011

2. Long products

Rebar (TMT QST)
Fe 415
12mm

LocationChange
Ahmedabad0%
Bangalore-1%
Chennai2%
Delhi -3%
Indore 0%
Kanpur 2%
Kolkata0%
Mandi1%
Mumbai3%
Muzzafarnagar2%
Raipur 0%
Rudrapur2%


Change is on Jan 21st as compared to 14th Jan 2011

WRC
SWR14
5.5/6

LocationChange
Chennai3%
Delhi 3%
Kanpur 0%
Kolkata0%
Raipur 0%
Rudrapur0%


Change is on Jan 21st as compared to 14th Jan 2011

ANGL
Grade A
65X65X6

LocationChange
Ahmedabad0%
Bangalore-1%
Chennai1%
Delhi 0%
Indore1%
Kanpur 1%
Kolkata1%
Mandi1%
Mumbai3%
Raipur 0%
Rudrapur1%


Change is on Jan 21st as compared to 14th Jan 2011

CHNL
Grade A
75/40

LocationChange
Ahmedabad0%
Bangalore-1%
Chennai2%
Delhi 0%
Indore1%
Kanpur 0%
Kolkata1%
Mandi1%
Mumbai3%
Raipur 0%
Rudrapur0%


Change is on Jan 21st as compared to 14th Jan 2011

JSTI
Grade A
250X125

LocationChange
Ahmedabad2%
Bangalore0%
Chennai2%
Delhi 0%
Indore1%
Kanpur 1%
Kolkata0%
Mandi1%
Mumbai3%
Raipur 0%
Rudrapur0%


Change is on Jan 21st as compared to 14th Jan 2011

3. Flat products

HRC
Tube
2.5x1250

LocationChange
Ahmedabad5%
Bangalore4%
Chennai10%
Delhi 2%
Indore2%
Kolkata5%
Ludhiana 2%
Mumbai4%


Change is on Jan 21st as compared to 14th Jan 2011

Patra

LocationChange
Delhi 0%
Ludhiana 1%
Mandi1%


Change is on Jan 21st as compared to 14th Jan 2011

Plates
Grade A
8X1250/1500

LocationChange
Chennai1%
Delhi 2%
Kanpur 3%
Kolkata3%
Mumbai4%
Rudrapur4%


Change is on Jan 21st as compared to 14th Jan 2011

Plates
GRADE B
12-20X2500

LocationChange
Ahmedabad4%
Bangalore1%
Chennai3%
Delhi 2%
Indore2%
Kanpur 4%
Kolkata3%
Mumbai4%
Raipur 0%
Rudrapur4%


Change is on Jan 21st as compared to 14th Jan 2011

CR
DSK
0.63x1000

LocationChange
Ahmedabad1%
Chennai2%
Delhi 2%
Kanpur 2%
Kolkata1%
Mumbai4%
Pune4%
Rudrapur2%


Change is on Jan 21st as compared to 14th Jan 2011

GP
100Gms
0.4

LocationChange
Mumbai4%
Chennai2%
Kolkata5%
Delhi2%
Ludhiana0%
Kanpur2%
Rudrapur2%
Bangalore2%


Change is on Jan 21st as compared to 14th Jan 2011

GC
100Gms
0.4

LocationChange
Bangalore2%
Chennai2%
Delhi 2%
Kanpur 2%
Kolkata4%
Mumbai4%
Ludhiana1%
Rudrapur2%


Change is on Jan 21st as compared to 14th Jan 2011

www.steelprices-india.com is a comprehensive portal that provides domestic pricing information for benchmark steel products in each category at select location in India on a regular basis 5 days a week and international price levels on a weekly basis.

As steel in each category comes in hundreds of grades shapes and sizes, we have taken benchmark products in each category at select locations to cover the entire basket of garden variety of steel products including input material for steel making and processing.

Products covered
1. Input materials - Iron ore, scrap, sponge iron, pig iron pencil ingot, billets and blooms
2. Long products - Rebar, wire rod, angle, channel and joists
3. Flat products - Narrow plates, wide plates, HR, CR and galvanized
4. Others - Pipes
5. FOB Levels - China, Ukraine, Russia and Turkey
Methodology and access
1. Benchmark products in each category with fixed commonly used sizes and grades
2. Base prices or effective, as per market trends
3. Average transaction levels which have settled well, based on continuous interactions with domestic mills, overseas suppliers,Importers stockiest & service centers and buyers
4. On fixed market oriented payment terms
5. Daily updates
6. Data available since July 2008
5. Access through web site

Price basis
Without ED and VAT for all products except for rebar and sections

Other features

The prices are displayed on weekly and monthly basis. They also have search facilities to access old data from the archives. Graphical representation of trends and comparison of price movement 2 or more products is also available.

In addition, you can monitor currency exchange rates, metal prices, BDI for the day as well as access their archives for past data.

Other features include converters for weight, length etc, glossary and advanced search functions. The benchmark product price information is supplemented by global pricing news.

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(Sourced from www.steelprices-india.com)

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