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Monday Market Monitor - India - WEEK 7 - Losses steam
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Monday, 21 Feb 2011
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The long product market in India was drenched in down pour last week as the ground realities of overtook the momentary positivism with the prices of input and finished taking a plunge.

The paradoxical situation is plummeting secondary and retail prices whereas firm primary suppliers prices rise with impunity. The secondary rolling sector continues to suffer lack of liquidity leading to delayed payments, off loading stocks by traders & stockiest in bid to collect cash in the closing months of the financial year, stocks being liquidated in a bid to minimize loss before the price slides further and lastly lack of demand in retail segment.

The primary manufacturers having decked their order books with project requirements has no material to supply hence they are quite oblivious to the happenings in retail. However the secondary producers are bearing the brunt of a sluggish market being coerced to reduce the prices. The gap between secondary and primary material having reached an astronomical INR 6000 per tonne to INR 7000 per tonne has to correct another INR 2000 per tonne to INR 3000 per tonne to regain normalcy or else the buyers will switch over to secondary for sourcing.

The price levels of primary manufacturers are notional owing to unavailability of material. However it is expected that blissful state won’t last long. Moreover with enhancement in default on monthly commitments the stocks would increase in their stockyard leading to the edifice crumbling under its own weight.

The reaction of the buyers of finished products in the retail will be critical for the sustenance of the bottoming out. Frenetic liquidation of stocks during the last 10 days mayhem might just have created need for stock replenishment.

On the other hand, slide in market prices of flat products last week clearly reflects that buyers are resisting the major hike in prices by steel majors and are limiting their purchases feeling that the peak has been reached.

In other words, sentiments propelling the flat product market are vanishing.

But the reality is that the surge by USD 50 per tonne to USD 70 per tonne in global export prices for flat products this month, both at China and Black Sea, is giving more room to Indian steel majors to go for another major hike.

It is learn that Ukrainian and Russian mills have been attempting levels of USD 820 per tonne to USD 850 per tonne CNF Mumbai bringing a lopsided parity of nearly INR 3000 per tonne with domestic mills (INR 39000 per tonne ex Mumbai). Taking into account an import hassle factor the real gap widens to nearly INR 4000 per tonne. This leaves the Indian mills ample elbow room to hike the prices by another INR 2500 per tonne to INR 3000 per tonne

The last fortnight of February promises to be eventful with the Chinese dragon wakes up from lunar slumber. Although the mills in line with international price movements have hiked the export levels by USD 50 per tonne they are competitive vis-à-vis the Black Sea counterparts. An ambiguous domestic sentiment will certainly make them aggressive on export. In this eventuality the Indian buyers would swap over to Chinese mills making the tidings onerous for Indian mills.

The Indian Long Product Price Index ILPPI continued in downward trends with 112 points last week whereas Indian Flat Products Index IFPPI is also gone down by 68 points. The overall price index INDSPI declined by 91 points.

Class11-Feb18-FebChange%
ILPPI79727860-112-1.4%
IFPPI90929024-68-0.7%
INDSPI85058414-91-1.1%

ILPPI - Indian Long Product Price Index
IFPPI - Indian Flat Product Price Index
INDSPI - Indian Steel Price Index

Long Products

Category11-Feb18-FebChange%
PI - TMT77777687-90-1.2%
PI - WRC83328196-136-1.6%
PI - Angle77907658-132-1.7%
PI - Channel78067715-91-1.2%
PI - Joist73787276-102-1.4%


PI - Product Index

Flat products

Category11-Feb18-FebChange%
PI - Narrow Plates84218316-106-1.3%
PI - Wide Plates86848632-52-0.6%
PI - Hot Rolled88988798-100-1.1%
PI - Cold Rolled998810021340.3%
PI - Galvanized97449690-54-0.6%


PI - Product Index

These indices have base of 10,000 as on July 1st 2008
To know more about these indices please visit
http://steelprices-india.com/spi_services/spi.html

To download a presentation please paste this link in your browser
http://www.steelprices-india.com/uploads/Steel_Price_Index_Presentation.ppt

You can now get ILPPI, IFPPI and INDSPI as SMS alert on mobile by submitting your details at
http://steelprices-india.com/smsalert

1. Input material

Melting scrap
80:20
HMS

LocationChange
Chennai-1%
Hyderabad-7%
Kandla0%
Kanpur -3%
Kolkata0%
Mandi1%
Mumbai-1%
Rudrapur-2%


Change is on Feb 18th as compared to 11th Feb 2011

Alang

ProductSizeChange
Plate cuttings1"1%
ShipsMixed0%


Change is on Feb 18th as compared to 11th Feb 2011

Pencil ingot

LocationChange
Ahmedabad-3%
Alang0%
Bhiwari2%
Chennai-1%
Durgapur1%
Ghaziabad3%
Hyderabad-5%
Jaipur1%
Jamshedpur1%
Kanpur -2%
Kolkata0%
Mandi1%
Mumbai0%
Muzzafarnagar3%
Nagpur0%
Raigarh2%
Raipur 1%
Rourkela2%
Rudrapur-1%


Change is on Feb 18th as compared to 11th Feb 2011

Pig Iron

LocationChange
Agra-1%
Jallandhar-1%
Kolkata-1%
Raipur -1%


Change is on Feb 18th as compared to 11th Feb 2011

Sponge iron

LocationChange
Bellary-1%
Kolkata3%
Raigarh1%
Raipur 1%
Rourkela1%


Change is on Feb 18th as compared to 11th Feb 2011

2. Long products

Rebar (TMT QST)
Fe 415
12mm

LocationChange
Ahmedabad-1%
Bangalore-4%
Chennai-2%
Delhi -1%
Indore -1%
Kanpur -1%
Kolkata0%
Mandi0%
Mumbai0%
Muzzafarnagar-2%
Raipur 0%
Rudrapur-2%


Change is on Feb 18th as compared to 11th Feb 2011

WRC
SWR14
5.5/6

LocationChange
Chennai-1%
Delhi -7%
Kanpur -1%
Kolkata0%
Raipur 0%
Rudrapur-1%


Change is on Feb 18th as compared to 11th Feb 2011

ANGL
Grade A
65X65X6

LocationChange
Ahmedabad-1%
Bangalore-4%
Chennai0%
Delhi -8%
Indore-1%
Kanpur -1%
Kolkata0%
Mandi0%
Mumbai0%
Raipur 0%
Rudrapur-1%


Change is on Feb 18th as compared to 11th Feb 2011

CHNL
Grade A
75/40

LocationChange
Ahmedabad-1%
Bangalore-4%
Chennai0%
Delhi -8%
Indore-1%
Kanpur -1%
Kolkata0%
Mandi0%
Mumbai0%
Raipur 0%
Rudrapur-1%


Change is on Feb 18th as compared to 11th Feb 2011

JSTI
Grade A
250X125

LocationChange
Ahmedabad-1%
Bangalore-2%
Chennai0%
Delhi -8%
Indore0%
Kanpur -2%
Kolkata0%
Mandi0%
Mumbai0%
Raipur 0%
Rudrapur-1%


Change is on Feb 18th as compared to 11th Feb 2011

3. Flat products

HRC
Tube
2.5x1250

LocationChange
Ahmedabad0%
Bangalore0%
Chennai0%
Delhi -5%
Indore0%
Kolkata0%
Ludhiana -1%
Mumbai0%


Change is on Feb 18th as compared to 11th Feb 2011

Patra

LocationChange
Delhi -8%
Ludhiana -1%
Mandi0%


Change is on Feb 18th as compared to 11th Feb 2011

Plates
Grade A
8X1250/1500

LocationChange
Chennai0%
Delhi -5%
Kanpur -1%
Kolkata0%
Mumbai0%
Rudrapur-1%


Change is on Feb 18th as compared to 11th Feb 2011

Plates
GRADE B
12-20X2500

LocationChange
Ahmedabad0%
Bangalore0%
Chennai0%
Delhi -6%
Indore-1%
Kanpur -1%
Kolkata0%
Mumbai0%
Raipur 3%
Rudrapur0%


Change is on Feb 18th as compared to 11th Feb 2011

CR
DSK
0.63x1000

LocationChange
Ahmedabad-1%
Chennai0%
Delhi -1%
Kanpur 0%
Kolkata4%
Mumbai-1%
Pune-1%
Rudrapur0%


Change is on Feb 18th as compared to 11th Feb 2011

GP
100Gms
0.4

LocationChange
Mumbai-1%
Chennai0%
Kolkata0%
Delhi-2%
Ludhiana0%
Kanpur0%
Rudrapur0%
Bangalore0%


Change is on Feb 18th as compared to 11th Feb 2011

GC
100Gms
0.4

LocationChange
Bangalore0%
Chennai0%
Delhi -2%
Kanpur 0%
Kolkata0%
Mumbai0%
Ludhiana1%
Rudrapur0%


Change is on Feb 18th as compared to 11th Feb 2011

www.steelprices-india.com is a comprehensive portal that provides domestic pricing information for benchmark steel products in each category at select location in India on a regular basis 5 days a week and international price levels on a weekly basis.

As steel in each category comes in hundreds of grades shapes and sizes, we have taken benchmark products in each category at select locations to cover the entire basket of garden variety of steel products including input material for steel making and processing.

Products covered
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3. Flat products - Narrow plates, wide plates, HR, CR and galvanized
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