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Monday Market Monitor - EU - WEEK 40 - Realities emerging
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Monday, 10 Oct 2011
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European situation for the time being and believe for long time to come is the most worrying and problematic.

The disappointing trend taken by the market after summer holiday was unfortunately not surprising at all. In fact, already during the period between second half of June to end of July, everybody could understand that expectations were not positive, owing the difficult situation across all products and areas.

After the financial crisis of 2008 / 2009 affecting the banking system we are now facing a new crisis affecting the States and their capacity of repaying the accrued debts. Debts that have reached dizzy height, also due to bail outs plans, implemented for rescuing the banking system.

This crisis is going to be, most probably, deeper and longer than the previous one. Certainly next 1 to 2 years will be extremely tough and challenging, with no exception as far as economic sector are concerned, being production, trading or distribution.

The main problem will be the lack of funds and credit as we can already see not only in the troubled and discussed PIGS but also in those so called virtuous countries such Germany and France. The accrued outstanding of many French and German Banks with Greece is considered to have reached a dangerous level which is leading to restrictive credit policies by the banking system of these countries.

Recently the inflation within EU27, has again reached a level (above 3%) that is calling the attention of ECB. While till 15 days ago expectations was that, under the pressure of the market and the overall situation ECB would have eased interest rates, cutting at least 50 basis points, now the operators are worried about a possible increase of the same interest rates that, although in line with ECB orthodoxy, will not certainly shorten the way to a possible recovery.

So neither the States nor the Banks have the money that would be necessary for implementing stimulating policies. On the contrary, both of them are looking for taking money from the pockets of the consumers either asking to refund credits or imposing new and higher taxes.

The consequence is a lower consumption levels and thus an inadequate GDP growth that is not allowing repaying debts, that is not allowing stimulating the economy and finally the dog has succeeded to bite his tail!

This is the scenario in which the steel European steel industry is presently working with situations that are varying from state to state but that are sharing the same level of distress and apparent inadequacy of any measure so far implemented or even indicated.
1. Plates

HRP
S 235 / S275JR
5-20x2000

CountryDomestic Import
Germany00
Spain00
Italy00


Change is on Oct 7th as compared to 30th Sep 2011
In EUR per tonne

2. Hot Rolled Coils

HRC
S235JR
2-12x1000-1500

CountryDomestic Import
Germany-200
Spain-5-5
Italy00


Change is on Oct 7th as compared to 30th Sep 2011
In EUR per tonne

3. Cold Rolled coils

CRC
DC 01
0.60 Avx1250

CountryDomestic Import
Germany-40-10
Spain0-10
Italy00


Change is on Oct 7th as compared to 30th Sep 2011
In EUR per tonne

4. Hot Dipped Galvanized

HDG
DX 51 D / Z100-120 / AS
0.55 - 0.57x AW

CountryDomestic Import
Germany-10-10
Spain0-10
Italy-10-10


Change is on Oct 7th as compared to 30th Sep 2011
In EUR per tonne

5. Merchant bars

Merchant bars (B)
S235JR
5 to 150 mm

CountryDomestic Import
Germany00
Spain5-10
Italy00


Change is on Oct 7th as compared to 30th Sep 2011
In EUR per tonne

6. IPN / UPN

IPN / UPN (B)
S235JR
50 to 400 mm

CountryDomestic Import
Germany00
Spain5-10
Italy00


Change is on Oct 7th as compared to 30th Sep 2011
In EUR per tonne

7. HEA/B/M

HEA/B/M (E)
S235JR
100 to 600 mm

CountryDomestic Import
Germany010
Spain010
Italy010


Change is on Oct 7th as compared to 30th Sep 2011
In EUR per tonne

8. De-Bars

De-Bars (E)
FE500
6 to 40 mm

CountryDomestic Import
Germany00
Spain05
Italy00


Change is on Oct 7th as compared to 30th Sep 2011
In EUR per tonne

9. WRC Mesh

WR Mesh (E)
S235JR
5.5 to 16 mm

CountryDomestic Import
Germany-100
Spain05
Italy5-10


Change is on Oct 7th as compared to 30th Sep 2011
In EUR per tonne

10. WRC Drawing

WR Drawing (E)
SAE 1006/8
5.5 to 16 mm

CountryDomestic Import
Germany00
Spain00
Italy00


Change is on Oct 7th as compared to 30th Sep 2011
In EUR per tonne
(E) - Effective
(B) - Base

CFR Antwerp

Change is on Oct 7th as compared to 30th Sep 2011
In EUR per tonne

www.steelprices-europe.com is a comprehensive service for tracking real time steel prices and trends in both South and North Europe on weekly basis.

The scope of service includes
1. Domestic pricing information in Germany, Italy and Spain
2. Import pricing information in Germany, Italy and Spain
3. Import levels at Antwerp and Turkey
4. Export levels from Turkey, Rotterdam, China, India and Black Sea

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2. Send mail to admin@steelprices-europe.com.
(Sourced from www.steelprices-europe.com)

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