
Copper prices fell the most in three months. In other metals Aluminium, Zinc and Nickel also dropped and only tin beat the general trend in base metals.
China increased CRR by 50 bps and cut liquidity to curb overheating. It hiked reserve ratio after five quarters of ultra loose monetary policies since 4Q2008. Morgan Stanley on China CRR Hike said “The surprising hike of RRR is likely to affect market sentiment in the near-term; especially the policy sensitive sectors such as banks, properties and materials. Defensive sectors are telecom, consumer, media, Internet and insurance.”
The dollar rose against the euro after US data showed a rise in manufacturing and tame consumer prices last month. A stronger dollar makes dollar priced metals costlier for non US investors. The dollar’s rebound against a basket of six major currencies also weighed on metal prices. The dollar index rose for the first time in four days after Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia President Mr Charles Plosser said the central bank must increase interest rates “well before” unemployment falls to an acceptable level.
Also knocking sentiment, US stock markets, seen by some as a proxy for economic growth, fell after a survey showed consumer sentiment was little changed in early January.
US industrial production rose in line with expectations in December while capacity utilization, one of the factors the Fed is watching to decide when to raise rates, rose slightly.
Mr Peter Fertig, analyst at Quantitative Commodity Research, said “Investors are concerned about the pace of economic recovery. We have a combination of high inventories and stock market weakness.”
The slump in metals prices triggered losses in related equities. The MCSI World/Materials Index, a measure of mining and chemical companies, dropped for a second day to the lowest in a week.
London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer
| Product | 07-Jan | 14-Jan | Change | % |
| Zinc | 2634 | 2492 | -142 | -5% |
| Nickel | 18745 | 18345 | -400 | -2% |
| Tin | 17675 | 18175 | 500 | 3% |
| Aluminium | 2306 | 2293 | -14 | -1% |
| Copper | 7593 | 7453 | -140 | -2% |
Change is on January14th as compared to January 7th 2010
In USD per tonne
1. Zinc
Zinc was the biggest looser with 5.39% loss during January 14th 2010 and January 7th 2010.
London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer
| 07-Jan | 11-Jan | 12-Jan | 13-Jan | 14-Jan |
| 2634 | 2579 | 2486 | 2476 | 2492 |
In USD per tonne
| Date | Rate | Period | Change |
| 14-Jan | 2492 | | |
| 07-Jan | 2634 | WoW | -5.39% |
| 14-Dec | 2281 | MoM | 9.25% |
| 14-Oct | 1988 | QoQ | 25.38% |
| 14-Jan'09 | 1181 | YoY | 111.01% |
In USD per tonne
2. Nickel
London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer
| 07-Jan | 11-Jan | 12-Jan | 13-Jan | 14-Jan |
| 18745 | 18275 | 17760 | 17725 | 18345 |
In USD per tonne
| Date | Rate | Period | Change |
| 14-Jan | 18345 | | |
| 07-Jan | 18745 | WoW | -2.13% |
| 14-Dec | 16680 | MoM | 9.98% |
| 14-Oct | 18125 | QoQ | 1.21% |
| 14-Jan'09 | 10350 | YoY | 77.25% |
In USD per tonne
Analysts noted record high nickel stocks, which at 161,994 tonnes have more than doubled over the past year as supplies outstripped demand from stainless steel producers.
Mr Dan Smith, analyst at Standard Chartered, said “Nickel more than any other base metal takes account of fundamentals. It is heading up to be the worst market because the stainless steel market is in a pretty poor state.”
3. Tin
London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer
| 07-Jan | 11-Jan | 12-Jan | 13-Jan | 14-Jan |
| 17675 | 17800 | 17725 | 17675 | 18175 |
In USD per tonne
| Date | Rate | Period | Change |
| 14-Jan | 18175 | | |
| 07-Jan | 17675 | WoW | 2.83% |
| 14-Dec | 15150 | MoM | 19.97% |
| 14-Oct | 14650 | QoQ | 24.06% |
| 14-Jan'09 | 11300 | YoY | 60.84% |
In USD per tonne
Traders said tin prices would be supported by a crackdown on illegal mining in Indonesia, the world's second largest producer after China.
4. Aluminium
London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer
| 07-Jan | 11-Jan | 12-Jan | 13-Jan | 14-Jan |
| 2306 | 2320 | 2260 | 2250 | 2293 |
In USD per tonne
| Date | Rate | Period | Change |
| 14-Jan | 2293 | | |
| 07-Jan | 2306 | WoW | -0.59% |
| 14-Dec | 2265 | MoM | 1.21% |
| 14-Oct | 1854 | QoQ | 23.65% |
| 14-Jan'09 | 1440 | YoY | 59.20% |
In USD per tonne
Aluminum in London fell to USD 2,253 a tonne on Friday while the metal dropped by the exchange-imposed daily limit in Shanghai.
Mr Yu said “Aluminum has been rising alongside copper, partly supported by concerns about supply as power gets disrupted by the bad weather. However one mustn’t forget the 4 million tonnes of metal sitting in warehouses.”
Inventories of aluminum in warehouses monitored by the LME reached a record 4.64 million tonnes on December 18. Now stocks of aluminum at 4.58 million tonnes are within reach of record highs. But prices have been supported by financing deals, which have tied up about 70% of LME stocks until May at least.
Also in the spotlight are canceled warrants, material earmarked for delivery, on aluminum stocks, which at more than 251,000 tonnes is nearly 20% of the remaining 30% not tied up in deals.
5. Copper
London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer
| 07-Jan | 11-Jan | 12-Jan | 13-Jan | 14-Jan |
| 7593 | 7680 | 7420 | 7390 | 7453 |
In USD per tonne
| Date | Rate | Period | Change |
| 14-Jan | 7453 | | |
| 07-Jan | 7593 | WoW | -1.84% |
| 14-Dec | 6915 | MoM | 7.78% |
| 14-Oct | 6191 | QoQ | 20.38% |
| 14-Jan'09 | 3138 | YoY | 137.51% |
In USD per tonne
Copper prices trickled to a weaker finish on Friday, under pressure from a firmer dollar and incessant inventory builds in exchange-monitored warehouses that fanned concerns about near-term demand prospects.
Copper prices mired in a lower drift, with near term concerns about incessant stock builds in global exchange warehouses. London Metal Exchange warehouse stock levels ended the week at 525,475 tonnes, their highest since mid February. Deliverable copper inventories in warehouses monitored by the Shanghai Futures Exchange rose 2% to 100,588 tonnes from 98,814 tonnes a week earlier. COMEX copper stocks up 276 short tons at 99,917 short tons as of Thursday.
Mr Justin Lennon, analyst with Mitsui Bussan Inc said “The market is drifting because some people don't like seeing these increases in stocks. From a near-term perspective it looks like there's a lot of supply, but, historically speaking it's not that much.”
Copper supported by tight market conditions reflected in 2010 copper treatment and refining charges of USD 46.50 a tonne, or 4.65 cents a lb, between BHP Billiton Plc and Japanese and Chinese smelters
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