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Baltic Sea index drops on weak freight demand
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Thursday, 24 May 2012
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Reuters reported that the Baltic Exchange main sea freight index, tracking rates for ships carrying dry commodities fell due to weaker freight demand in both capesize and panamax segments.

The overall index a gauge of the cost of shipping commodities such as iron ore, cement, grain, coal and fertiliser fell 14 points or 1.23% to 1,127 points. The Baltic panamax index fell 2.52% with average daily earnings down to USD 9,867, its lowest since April 17.

The Baltic capesize index dropped 1.48% to 1,494 points. The average daily earnings for the larger capesize vessels which typically transport 150,000 tonne cargoes such as iron ore and coal fell USD 315 to USD 8,526 due to weak iron ore demand in China.

Analysts expect the recent move by the Chinese government to fast track approvals for infrastructure investment is likely to boost dry bulk market activity at a time when steel producers and traders are wary of taking up cargoes.

The government had asked for project proposals by the end of June, even for those initially earmarked for the end of the year said the China Securities Journal, one of the country's top financial papers.

Mr Erik Nikolai Stavseth Arctic Securities analyst said "While details and numbers were scarce, the news does remind us of the situation seen in 2009 when a sharp increase in loans drove infrastructure spending higher and providing firm support to the dry bulk market."

Mr Stavseth continues to expect the dry bulk segment to remain challenging in the short term, but sees it improving in the second quarter of the year. He said that "If the ball starts rolling faster on Chinese infrastructure projects it should spill over into dry bulk in the second quarter of 2012."

Growing ship supply has been outpacing commodity demand for some time now and is expected to cap dry bulk freight rate gains in the coming months. Meanwhile, Chinese buyers were deferring or had defaulted on coal and iron ore deliveries following a drop in prices.

Source - Reuters

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